Allan Lichtman Prediction For 2024 13 Keys. Joe biden dropping out and kamala harris taking his place has shaken up the 2024 election. “the democrats will hold on to the white house, and kamala harris will be the next president of the united states,” lichtman told the new york times today in a video.

Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), lichtman had been predicting trump’s win since september 2016. The keys to the white house, crafted by allan lichtman, operates on the theory of retrospective voting.